With just one episode of Game of Thrones left in the show’s eighth and final season, fans are making their final forecasts on who lives, who dies and who will sit on the Seven Kingdoms’ ardently contested Iron Throne — and they’re putting their money down pretty accurately. (Let’s expect it’s a better deal than Cersei’s decision to compensate for the Golden Company.)
Paddy Power, an online betting site in the U.K., predicted the updated odds on a potential ruler — or rulers! — of Westeros and survival rates for the rest of the Thrones cast following the penultimate episode.
Things have definitely changed for Daenerys Targaryen, Mother of Dragons, following her fiery rampage at King’s Landing: she’s at present certainly the favorite to die as per famous opinion on Paddy Power, with 1/4 odds for her death, which comes to about 80%.
Of the other still-living fan favorites, Jon Snow has 5/4 odds to die, 4/7 to live; Tyrion Lannister is 6/4 to die, 1/2 to live; and Arya Stark is 5/2 to die, 1/4 to live, making her survival exactly inverse of Dany’s expected demise.
As for the final ruler of the Seven Kingdoms? Paddy Power players seem to think Bran Stark will get the crown, with 5/4 odds. He’s followed by his sister Sansa Stark at 5/2 odds, Jon Snow at 4/1, Arya Stark at 6/1 and no one at all with 8/1 odds. (At the very bottom of the list, with 400/1 odds, is good old Hot Pie.)
The final episode of Game of Thrones airs on HBO at 9 p.m. on May 19, at which we’ll make out which bets were dead on, and which were just dead. Because finally, when you play the game of thrones, you win or you die.